Antigua and Barbuda's economy is projected to grow by 4.0% in 2026, outpacing much of Latin America and the Caribbean even as regional economic momentum slows, according to new projections from the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). As reported by Antigua News Room, the forecast signals continued resilience in the twin-island nation's tourism-driven economy amid mounting global uncertainty.
The 2026 projection follows an estimated 5.0% growth rate in 2025, reflecting sustained expansion over consecutive years. The slight deceleration is consistent with broader regional trends, though Antigua and Barbuda's performance remains notably strong by regional standards.
ECLAC has revised its regional forecast downward, projecting average growth of just 2.2% across Latin America and the Caribbean in 2026, citing a more challenging international environment. Antigua and Barbuda's projected 4.0% expansion places it well above that average, reinforcing its standing among the stronger-performing Caribbean economies.
The commission noted that 24 of the region's 33 economies are expected to slow in 2026, reflecting widespread moderation in economic activity across the hemisphere.
Several external factors are driving the regional slowdown. ECLAC pointed to heightened geopolitical tensions, rising inflation, and tighter global financial conditions as key headwinds. Higher oil prices and increasing food costs are adding to inflationary pressures, while slower growth in major global economies and weaker trade expansion are expected to dampen external demand. Central banks in advanced economies have maintained cautious monetary policies, keeping borrowing conditions relatively restrictive.
Within the Caribbean, the overall growth projection stands at 5.6% for 2026. However, ECLAC noted that figure is heavily influenced by rapid economic expansion in Guyana. Excluding that outlier, regional growth is significantly lower, highlighting uneven performance across Caribbean nations.
Beyond the near-term outlook, ECLAC warned that the region continues to grapple with deeper structural constraints, including limited long-term growth capacity, vulnerability to external shocks, and subdued domestic demand in several economies. The commission stressed that strengthening investment, improving productivity, and building greater economic resilience will be essential for sustaining growth in the years ahead.
For Antigua and Barbuda, the projected 4.0% growth in 2026 points to continued economic stability, even as global headwinds and a broader regional slowdown present ongoing challenges.
