Barbuda People's Movement (BPM) leader Trevor Walker has declared that Barbuda's lone parliamentary seat could determine which party forms the next government, arguing that islanders hold decisive influence in what he expects to be a tightly contested general election.

According to Antigua News Room, Walker made the remarks at a BPM rally this week, framing the April 30 vote as critical not only for Barbuda but for the national political balance.

"This election will determine what happens in Antigua and Barbuda," Walker told supporters, pointing to scenarios in which neither major party secures a clear parliamentary majority.

Walker dismissed suggestions that candidates aligned with larger parties could play a pivotal role. He argued that Barbuda's independent political standing gives it far greater leverage than any party-affiliated representative could wield.

"The trump card lies with Barbuda," he said. "Because we are an independent Barbuda People's Movement."

He drew a sharp contrast between the BPM's position and that of candidates tied to the Antigua Labour Party, contending that such candidates would simply add to that party's parliamentary count rather than hold independent bargaining power.

"You represent the Antigua Labour Party… you don't have no trump card," Walker said, insisting that only a truly independent Barbuda representative could influence the formation of government.

The BPM leader suggested that a close result between the Antigua Labour Party and the United Progressive Party would make Barbuda's seat pivotal in deciding who controls Parliament.

Walker urged voters to recognise the broader significance of their ballot, saying the outcome would shape national governance well beyond local concerns. "We represent Barbuda," he said, reinforcing the BPM's identity as distinct from Antigua's two dominant parties.

General elections in Antigua and Barbuda are contested across 17 constituencies. Barbuda has traditionally been represented by the BPM, and in past elections, narrow margins between the major parties have heightened the importance of individual seats in determining the overall result.